Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031553 0.034468 0.037402 0.040568 0.043885 0.047250 0.050916
2026-01-04 0.026766 0.031071 0.035546 0.040522 0.045879 0.051450 0.057662
2026-01-11 0.023500 0.028826 0.034527 0.041028 0.048184 0.055776 0.064391
2026-01-18 0.020896 0.026989 0.033686 0.041495 0.050257 0.059705 0.070581
2026-01-25 0.017549 0.023997 0.031290 0.039993 0.049950 0.060860 0.073594
2026-02-01 0.015319 0.022090 0.029951 0.039523 0.050658 0.063022 0.077618
2026-02-08 0.013574 0.020604 0.028970 0.039349 0.051602 0.065368 0.081776
2026-02-15 0.012742 0.020163 0.029170 0.040507 0.054040 0.069378 0.087789
2026-02-22 0.011875 0.019598 0.029157 0.041358 0.056079 0.072899 0.093225
2026-03-01 0.010927 0.018849 0.028855 0.041808 0.057602 0.075794 0.097918
2026-03-08 0.009950 0.017984 0.028349 0.041957 0.058726 0.078193 0.102015
2026-03-15 0.009405 0.017669 0.028512 0.042911 0.060800 0.081693 0.107382
2026-03-22 0.008195 0.016350 0.027333 0.042165 0.060816 0.082789 0.109989
2026-03-29 0.007438 0.015628 0.026904 0.042343 0.061945 0.085199 0.114140
2026-04-05 0.006905 0.015199 0.026839 0.042968 0.063612 0.088246 0.119038
2026-04-12 0.006387 0.014749 0.026718 0.043498 0.065147 0.091125 0.123737
2026-04-19 0.005281 0.013265 0.025083 0.041977 0.064058 0.090792 0.124581
2026-04-26 0.004593 0.012396 0.024267 0.041504 0.064263 0.092009 0.127257
2026-05-03 0.004052 0.011721 0.023695 0.041330 0.064827 0.093649 0.130431
2026-05-10 0.003901 0.011728 0.024126 0.042523 0.067153 0.097463 0.136233
2026-05-17 0.003684 0.011594 0.024333 0.043400 0.069065 0.100764 0.141418
2026-05-24 0.003388 0.011281 0.024250 0.043863 0.070431 0.103384 0.145777
2026-05-31 0.003048 0.010847 0.023958 0.044017 0.071381 0.105480 0.149493